Forget everything you know about conventional football betting… Today I’m going to reveal:
From the desk of: Pat
I felt so angry when I discovered how the betting industry had fooled me for the past several years.
In fact, I ultimately put a stop to betting for an entire two years!
I’d look through the bookmaker’s windows and feel pity for the oblivious punter standing in front of Sky Sports News, betting slip in-hand, desperately waiting for luck to go his way.
Or for my friend debating for hours upon hours whether Manchester City would score Over 3.5 goals or not - citing ego-centric pundits or some blase comment he’d read on a football betting forum.
And yes, from day dot I knew that as a bettor I was at a considerable disadvantage as odds are practically NEVER in the punter’s favour.
That wasn’t the cause of my dismay.
It wasn’t the shocking revelation that Ladbrokes have been sponsoring "fake news" articles which claimed people with massive debts and depression had solved their problems by gambling.
Before I reveal what happened, let's take it back a little and examine a subject that men usually brush off.
I hate Rihanna - and all pop music in general.
But my wife just can't get enough of it. Either Capital Xtra in her Fiat 500 or Radio 1 while she is cooking a shepherds pie; if it's a Rihanna song, she might even start crooning to the lyrics.
I don't get it. My wife is 32.
Anyways, Rihanna made the national headlines when she released her overly-glorified make-up assemble called Fenty.
My wife naturally caught on to the hype and asked me to buy her some of these delicate accessories for her birthday.
She gave me a list of sophisticated names and numbers: "Concealer and Contour 349", "Pro Filter Soft Matte Longwear Foundation 220 Peach", "Invisimatte Blotting Powder," "Magnetized Shimmer Skin Stick"; this list looked like a chemistry assignment.
So I went to the Fenty Beauty website, head in my hand thinking this is the most tedious task ever...
But to be entirely fair, I got genuinely taken aback by how elaborate make-up has become nowadays.
Detailed user reviews, expert opinions, scientific studies, technical writing, high-level branding across the board, no wonder why artificial beauty absorbs both women (and men).
And that's when something clicked...
Think insurance, stock trading, banking, fitness, nutrition, medicine, politics, and all the other hustles that have built their foundations on COMPLETE nonsense!
It's the seller's job to make it look like they figured out a solution to a problem that you seemingly can't solve yourself.
This illusion then creates a need for a service.
All of a sudden, a women's natural skin isn't good enough because it doesn't have that fake-ish glow Kate Moss has on Rimmel adverts.
Now let's take it back to betting.
Since the advent of online betting in the early 2000's, things have gotten out of hand.
Hundreds of forums, gurus, software, loopholes, new bookmakers, new betting types but where has all this advancement got us?
The majority of us are still in the red.
The only ones that are winning out of all this are the dubious individuals that pose as experts - asking you to buy into another algorithm.
Or even worse.
Trying to convince you that they wake up every morning and look through tons of "super-difficult-to-understand stats" ONLY to deliver another loser to your inbox.
Ok, some of them might do
But is all that even necessary?
The answer to that question came to me in Summer 2017.
As I began to miss the thrill of betting, I started playing "real-life" football at my local 5x5 astroturf.
I joined a team of middle-aged men, who frequented the neighbourhood pub, and we entered a Sunday football tournament which consisted of a wide variety of enthusiastic participants - from 16-year-old college kids to retired bankers.
Whether we won or lost a game was in no way linked to how many goals we scored, our previous 5-game form or some tactical change in formations. The factors were more intangible... More natural.
Let me share an example to get your mind ticking.
One of the most obvious ones was the “fear factor”.
There was a 5x5 team of teenagers who were a bit rowdy.
In fact, there were several instances where their players got banned from the tournament altogether!
Teams that were intimidated by these young men were more likely to lose their match even if they seemed better on paper.
But some squads (ours included) didn’t care and were willing to give them a taste of their tackles.
Hence why we managed to win three out of four eventful head-to-head encounters
Every time our defence would blame one particular person for a goal rather than taking it on as a team, we were more likely to lose the game.
You don’t need to be a psychologist to understand why defensive harmony is crucial to a team’s success.
There are countless other "natural" factors that I recognised when I began to pay attention to them
And I’ve noticed how these same intangible aspects of football affected the players on TV.
Even though there were more men on the field and the stakes were much higher, the basics remained the same.
That would be naïve.
They should be factored in.
But I do believe for example that Jose Mourinho has a noticeable effect on Premier League teams that we usually dismiss because it seems "too obvious".
When I finally got back to betting in Autumn last year, I stopped watching pundits on Youtube, going to forums,
buying betting systems, subscribing to stats providers – all of that went out the window.
I kept it simple.
On mornings, I would do 10-20 minutes of looking through odds on Oddsportal to see where the value is.
Once I’ve narrowed it down to 5 games, it was back to the fat brown folder to fish out the notes and use common sense and thorough observation to predict what’s going to happen
There was no system involved.
And no money spent on tipsters.
I’m going to be honest with you.
I lost around £250 in the first month of doing this.
My small notes were translating into serious, cold-hard pounds in my pocket.
Do you remember the Mourinho interview when he joined Manchester Utd, where he stated that he was feeling lonely living in a Manchester penthouse without the company of his family?
Did you factor that into your bets?
Did you notice how talisman Sanchez's behaviour had a toll on Lacazette’s attitude when he joined the Gunners?
My eyes were open.
In Autumn 2017, I raked in enough money to buy myself, my wife and 4 of my teammates a first-class British Airways ticket to Moscow for the World Cup 2018.
And I had enough money left to take my family to Italy during the cold December festivities.
I’m not here to ramble on about numbers.
You do the Maths.
I like to keep life simple.
I’ve been wearing the same hat since 2013.
I’d happily skip a cinema night for a pint in the pub.
I only make phone calls from my landline.
My laptop still runs on Windows XP.
And I’m best friends with my car mechanic.
And you know what?
What I have created is the following:
I know you have enough sense for you to know that this is not some regular sales offer.
This an invitation to my office.
I am murdering it at the moment!
And I would like to invite you to be part of a close-knit sect of punters who believe that betting isn't rocket science
Couple more things...
I have seen the following situation occur MANY times in the past.
An individual creates a betting system based on stats and a vague hypothesis.
He then goes on and tests the system for a month or two and has moderate to zero success.
He is not too happy with the returns but he is determined to make some money out of it so he decides to sell the flawed method online.
He pumps himself up so much that he starts to believe that it will work in the foreseeable future.
What follows is another long sales page filled with marketing words and clever alliterations.
People believe in his B.S and buy a monthly subscription.
Now, he might have a lucky run now and again but ultimately the scheme crumbles down and he is left with a bunch of angry customers and bad reviews.
The tipster disappears and does the whole thing all over again.
I hate anything that comes out of my bank account monthly and I’m sure you do too.
Especially if it’s not giving you the returns you expected.
With 5 Minute Genius I only charge a one-month fee which will obviously be returned to you if you’re not enjoying my company.
But best believe I’ll delete you from my list until you repurchase.
And I believe in fluidity.
As mentioned above, I don’t work by some rigid system so if things are looking down I’m more than happy to "switch angles".
A lot of the times, tipsters go wrong because they keep telling themselves the same lie over and over again until they eventually start believing it.
Dangerous mistake when you have 2,000 bettors following you off the cliff!
If none of the above have scared you off than you are definitely in the right place.
To join and get the next tip all you have to do is click the button below and you’re good to go.
FYI, the discussion forums will be active as soon as I shut down this website which should be on the 2nd February.
I’m looking forward to speaking to you on there or alternatively you can always contact me on firstname.lastname@example.org
If you want a taste of my bets click below if not, you can always close this page and go back to your tipster.
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